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Prediction for CME (2014-02-18T01:25:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2014-02-18T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5110/-1 CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-20T02:50Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 6.0 Dst min. in nT: -86 Dst min. time: 2014-02-20T13:00Z Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-02-20T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: :Issued: 2014 Feb 18 1005 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A full halo CME erupted at 01:25 UT (first seen by LASCO-C2) as a consequence of a filament eruption in the southeast of the visible solar disc. The bulk of the CME is directed to the southeast, but it can reach the Earth. The calculated speed is 663 km/s, giving an arrival time of February 20, at 20:00 UT (with a ~12h error margin). #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 40.75 hour(s) Difference: -17.17 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-02-18T10:05Z |
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